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Steel Price Update – September 2012

US scrap prices to reflect little change in September

The US domestic scrap market has been extremely quiet ahead of the Labor Day holiday, but deals made early are pointing to a soft sideways trend.

Since the fourth quarter of last year, the Chinese steel market has remained sluggish due to weak global and domestic demand. In this context, China’s total crude steel output is expected to decline to 678.68 million mt in 2012, down 0.7 percent compared to 2011, indicating the first year-on-year decline in 31 years, according to the China Iron and Steel Association (CISA).

In 2011, China produced 695.5 million mt of crude steel, up 8.9 on year-on-year basis.
A number of Chinese steel producers have implemented cuts in their production. Meanwhile, some Chinese steel giants, such as Shanghai-based Baosteel and Hubei-based Wuhai Iron and Steel Co.(WISCO) have also suspended development projects amid poor steel market conditions.

Steel Price Update – August 2012

US prices and demand are on the upswing in Aug – European markets unchanged until September
So far this month scrap steel prices have recovered strongly during July in US, and continued to firm elsewhere later in the month It is likely that demand will pick up after the summer slowdowns in the core markets, though to what degree is unclear. It remains to be seen if output will be reduced to match actual demand during the rest of Q3, beyond the holiday shutdowns and already-announced closures in Europe. In US and Europe, longs prices are quite firm even if demand is not as strong as normal at this time of year.

I also look at June’s production figures that showed global output to have fallen by over three million tonnes. Actual monthly US production fell but, on a daily output basis, Asian and Chinese production was higher. EU-27 and Other Europe daily production was lower compared with May.

The key issue is will producers be able to manage the balance between further price increases and apparent demand levels after the summer slowdowns without turning sentiment downwards.

Source : Steel Business Briefing

Scrap Price Updates

Two updates to share today – both from Steel Business Briefing…

Turkish imported scrap prices keep soaring

Turkish imported scrap offer prices have already crossed $500/t levels but the transactions have slowed down this week, Steel Business Briefing learns from the market sources.

The latest confirmed deep sea cargo was a composite cargo of 16,000 tonnes of HMS 1&2 70:30, 8,000t HMS 1, 3,000t of rail scrap and 3,000 tonnes of P&S; it was sold at $498/t cfr from an EU supplier.

US scrap prices still rising; could hit $500 for shredded

US shredded scrap prices were about $460/long ton delivered mill last week, according to a recent survey, and will likely continue to climb, Steel Business Briefing understands.

That’s up about $50/l.t from the beginning of December, when prices were about $410/l.t.

Market sources predict March US scrap prices to rise

March’s US scrap market could be “coming in like a lion” with strong prices, one Mid-Atlantic states scrap dealer tells Steel Business Briefing.

“By all accounts the mills have strong order books, and are projecting good business. On the other side, incoming scrap has been severely impacted by the weather, as has transportation, especially rail service. The result will be an up market for scrap-probably a significant ‘up,'” he believes.

RMDAS September US scrap prices on the rise again

September US scrap prices for various grades have risen anywhere from $15-$24/long ton over the previous month, according to a ferrous scrap price index compiled by Pittsburgh-based Management Science Associates (MSA).

MSA’s RMDAS (Raw Material Data Aggregation Service) shows prices are up in all US regions, across the board, for prompt industrial composite, No 1 heavy melting (HMS) and shredded No 2 scrap.